The Civiqs surveys of likely voters in Ohio and Wisconsin were conducted from September 10-13, 2022.
From now through November, Civiqs will be releasing surveys of likely voters in key 2022 election states.
Republican J.D. Vance leads Democrat Tim Ryan 48% to 45% in the race for U.S. Senate in Ohio. Vance holds the advantage despite a lower favorable rating than Ryan. Vance is viewed favorably by just 36% of Ohio likely voters, and unfavorably by 50%. Ryan has a 39% favorable rating, with 46% unfavorable among likely voters in Ohio.
In the race for Ohio Governor, Republican Mike DeWine leads Democrat Nan Whaley 44% to 41%. This is a measure of where the race currently stands, and should not be interpreted as a forecast of the eventual election result: 15% of likely voters are still undecided or considering other candidates. DeWine is unpopular, with a 52% unfavorable rating, and only 33% favorable. Whaley is still largely unknown in Ohio, with 36% favorable, 40% unfavorable, and 24% unsure.
President Joe Biden receives a 38% favorable rating and 58% unfavorable rating among likely 2022 Ohio voters.
In the race for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin, Republican Ron Johnson leads Democrat Mandela Barnes 49% to 48%. Johnson has a net negative favorability rating, 44% favorable to 52% unfavorable. Barnes also has a 44% favorable rating among likely voters in Wisconsin, with 47% unfavorable, and 8% unsure.
Democrat Tony Evers is up by one percentage point over Republican Tim Michels in the race for Wisconsin Governor. Evers has a 46% favorability rating, with 50% of likely voters in Wisconsin viewing him unfavorably. Michels is viewed less favorably than Evers among likely voters: 43% favorable, 49% unfavorable, 9% unsure.
Likely voters in Wisconsin give President Joe Biden a net negative favorable rating, with 43% holding a favorable view, and 53% viewing him unfavorably.
Civiqs surveyed 780 likely voters in Ohio and 780 likely voters in Wisconsin from September 10-13, 2022. The surveys were conducted online, among selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Sampled individuals were emailed by Civiqs and responded using a personalized link to the surveys at civiqs.com. The survey results are weighted by age, race, gender, education, and party identification to be representative of the population of likely voters in Ohio and Wisconsin. The Ohio survey has a margin of error of ±4.0% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.27. The Wisconsin survey has a margin of error of ±3.7% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.14.
Interested in conducting a survey? Speak with a Civiqs Analyst.
Want Civiqs updates in your inbox? Sign up for our newsletter, Immediate Reaction.