Report: Warren and Biden Defeat President Trump in Head-to-Head Matchups

The September 2019 Daily Kos/Civiqs Poll asked 1,548 registered voters in the United States about preferences in the 2020 presidential election, Trump job approval, abolishing the Electoral College, corporate business practices, and more.

2020 Presidential Election

If the election for president were held today, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and former Vice President Joe Biden would both defeat President Trump by four percentage points. In head to head matchups, Warren defeats Trump 48% to 44%, and Biden leads 47% to 43%. Senator Bernie Sanders also comes out ahead of Trump, by two percentage points, 46% to 44%. Senator Kamala Harris is in a dead heat with President Trump at 44% to 44%.

Among the four Democratic candidates polled, Senator Warren receives the most support among Independents at 41%. She also performs best among 18-34 year olds, with 54%. Vice President Biden is strongest among voters over age 65, with 44%.

President Trump’s job approval rating currently stands at 41%. A majority, 54% of Americans disapprove of the way President Trump is handling his job as president.

National Popular Vote

A majority of Americans (52%) support the National Popular Vote interstate compact, which would guarantee the presidency to the candidate who receives the most votes for president nationwide. Young voters are most supportive: 58% of those aged 18-34, compared to 46% of Americans over age 65.

The proposal generates an enormous partisan split: 89% of Democrats are in favor of the compact, compared to 48% of Independents and just 10% of Republicans. Among frequent Fox News and MSNBC viewers, the divide is even more pronounced. Frequent MSNBC viewers support the proposal 93% to 4%, while frequent Fox News viewers oppose it 84% to 8%.

Attitudes Towards Corporate Business Practices

The poll asked voters how their purchasing decisions would be affected if they learned that a company mistreated its workers, or engaged in environmentally harmful business practices.

Fully 59% would be less likely to purchase the products of a company that mistreated workers, and 30% would not purchase their products at all. Likewise, 51% would be less likely to purchase from companies who harm the environment, and 30% would not purchase from them at all. These attitudes are broadly shared by Democrats, Independents, and Republicans alike. Older voters, women, and Democrats are the most unwilling to purchase products from companies engaged in environmentally harmful business practices.

By contrast, a much smaller 6% said that mistreating workers would have no effect on their purchasing choices, and just 10% said that harming the environment would make no difference to their decision.

Civiqs surveyed 1,548 registered voters in the United States from September 21-24, 2019. The survey was conducted online, among selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Sampled individuals were emailed by Civiqs and responded using a personalized link to the survey at civiqs.com. The survey results are weighted by age, race, gender, education, party identification, and region to be representative of the population of registered voters in the United States. The general design effect due to weighting is 1.24. The survey has a margin of error of ±2.8% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect.