Civiqs automates the complex process of conducting opinion surveys, including sampling, interviewing, and modeling results. The Civiqs online survey platform is custom-built from the ground up to maximize responsiveness, representativeness, and accuracy. Civiqs manages and maintains its own online survey panel, to ensure the highest quality responses.

Why Poll Online?

Scientifically rigorous, sampling-based survey research is the best and most reliable way to learn about public opinion. Civiqs keeps up with Americans’ political attitudes with its large, national, online survey panel, and its custom-built polling service at civiqs.com.

The Internet is the predominant way that Americans communicate today. In 2000, only half of American adults were Internet users, and high-speed residential Internet access was nearly nonexistent. Americans who used the Internet were younger, wealthier, and better educated than those who did not. Nowadays, those differences have nearly vanished. Over 93% of all American adults are online, and 77% have home broadband connections. Another 15% use smartphones with e-mail and web access, even if they do not have high-speed connections at home. The number of cellular phone subscriptions per 100 Americans is greater than 150, and increasing.

“The Internet is the predominant way that Americans communicate today.”

At the same time, the use of landline telephones in U.S. households is collapsing. The rate at which Americans subscribe to landline service is less than half of what it was in 2000. Two-thirds of all U.S. households do not have any landline telephone service—and adults without landline telephones are disproportionately younger and people of color: populations that would be missed by landline-only surveys. Since 2016, a majority of American adults were wireless-only.

These trends make it increasingly difficult to conduct polls by telephone alone. Relying on landline telephones to contact a representative sample of Americans is almost guaranteed to produce inaccurate survey results. Yet calling mobile phones adds significant costs and complexity to traditional telephone-based survey methods. Even when Americans can be reached on the telephone, fewer and fewer are choosing to participating in polls: response rates on telephone surveys have fallen from 36% in 1997 to less than 10% today. Response rates on mobile phones are even lower than on landlines. Polls using interactive voice response (IVR, sometimes referred to as “robo-polls”) have still lower response and completion rates, are restricted from calling mobile phones, and, in many states, are prohibited completely.

“The spread of Internet access and the proliferation of handheld mobile devices makes the Internet the future of polling.”

The spread of Internet access and the proliferation of handheld mobile devices makes the Internet the future of polling. Online polling methodologies have been studied extensively, and been found to generate accurate results when researchers follow a series of best practices in sampling, user experience, interview design, and statistical modeling. By polling online, surveys can be fielded at a speed and scale that would never be possible over the telephone. Methodologically sophisticated online surveys have many additional advantages:

Very high survey completion rates.
Response rates above what can be achieved by telephone.
Round-the-clock interviewing, so respondents can answer when it is most convenient.
No interviewer effects, as every survey is conducted in exactly the same way.
The ability to interview the same people repeatedly over time.
Easy integration of voter registration data for list-based sampling.
Voter file matching on survey responses.

As with any polling methodology, the quality of the research design and implementation determines how confident you can be in your data and results.

The Civiqs Research Panel

Civiqs owns and operates a large, nationally representative opt-in online survey panel, or list of Americans who have agreed to take polls at civiqs.com. Panelists reside in all 50 states and Washington, DC, and match the contours of the United States along key geographic, demographic, and ideological lines. The Civiqs panel is expanding constantly, with new people joining every day. This keeps the panel fresh with respondents from all states, demographic groups, and ideological perspectives. The size, scope, and quality of the Civiqs panel, combined with Civiqs’ scientific sampling methodology, enables Civiqs to generate representative survey samples from the Civiqs panel.

By managing its own panel, Civiqs ensures that every respondent has verified contact information, every response is legitimate, and that the demographic, geographic, and political characteristics of every respondent can be trusted for accuracy. Civiqs is not dependent upon any third-party organizations for panel management or administration. Civiqs carefully monitors its panel usage to verify that surveys are answered on a timely schedule by a representative sample of respondents. Civiqs has optimized the frequency with which panelists are contacted for research, to keep survey response rates high and limit panelist attrition.

Civiqs uses a variety of techniques to invite new people to join the panel. The most common approach is through Internet advertisements that offer the chance to take a short, introductory survey at civiqs.com. At the end of the survey, Civiqs asks respondents if they would like to take future surveys; and if so, to enter their email address. By submitting their email address, individuals join the panel. Participation in Civiqs polls is free and open to all residents of the United States of America. Panel members must be at least 13 years of age.

Civiqs periodically asks its panel members to provide demographic information about themselves, including birth year, race, and level of education, to confirm that surveys are representative of all Americans. Civiqs occasionally asks panelists for their home location, for statistical sampling purposes, and names, to verify voter registration status. Civiqs maintains extremely strict security measures to protect the safety of all panelists’ data.

Civiqs gives its panelists a chance for their opinions to be heard. In return, Civiqs treats every panelist with care and respect. Panelists may contact Civiqs at any time by writing to help@civiqs.com with questions, issues, or concerns. Individuals in the Civiqs panel who no longer wish to participate may unsubscribe, and thereby leave the panel, at any time. Directions for unsubscribing from the panel are included in every email Civiqs sends.

All Civiqs panelists are covered by the Civiqs privacy policy. Participation in surveys at civiqs.com is governed by the Civiqs Terms of Service. The survey responses that are given by Civiqs panelists are only ever used for research purposes. Civiqs will never contact panel members with advertisements or sales solicitations. Civiqs does not sell or release panelists’ contact information to third parties for advertising or sales purposes.

Scientific Sampling

Civiqs uses a scientific, list-based sampling methodology to determine which panelists are selected to receive polls. Every day, Civiqs conducts a large number of interviews with its own panel on a range of topics of political interest. Samples for these surveys are generated automatically on a daily basis. Civiqs samples can also be used to conduct polls that are designed to be fielded quickly: either web-only, or to complement telephone data collection in a mixed-mode survey.

The Civiqs sampling methodology is engineered to correct for any demographic or ideological non-representativeness in the panel. If groups are underrepresented or overrepresented in the panel relative to their prevalence in the population, sampling directly from the panel will lead to biased results. Civiqs addresses this using a national list of registered voters to control the rates at which individuals from different groups are polled. Panel members from groups who are underrepresented in the Civiqs panel are sampled more frequently, and those from groups who are overrepresented in the panel are sampled less frequently.

As with any sample-based public opinion poll, the characteristics of Civiqs survey respondents—and the responses they give—are subject to random sampling variation. Civiqs monitors a variety of demographic and political measures to assess differences between the sample and population in any particular sample. Based on those factors, Civiqs weights and models the survey results to improve the accuracy of its polling.

To conduct a poll, Civiqs randomly selects a number of target individuals equal to the desired sample size from a list of registered voters. For each target voter, Civiqs identifies members of its panel who are most geographically and demographically similar to the selected voter, using a statistical matching methodology. Civiqs then sends emails to matched panelists, in order of similarity, to invite them to take a poll at civiqs.com. Panelists who do not respond within one day receive a follow-up, reminder email. Emails are sent on a regular schedule until a survey is completed for each target individual. When more than one matched panelist responds to a poll for a selected target, Civiqs only counts data from the most similar respondent. Panelists can expect to receive a new poll approximately once every few weeks.

Civiqs achieves very high rates of congruence between the demographic profile of the target individual and the characteristics of the survey respondent. After sampling, any remaining differences between the distribution of the sample and the distribution of the population are reconciled in the post-interviewing weighting and modeling analysis.

Interviewing

Surveys that are quick, easy-to-use, and mobile-friendly keep survey respondents happy and engaged. Civiqs recognizes that a well-designed survey interface, on both desktop and mobile devices, encourages respondents to complete surveys truthfully and completely. When interviews are long, boring, or confusing, respondents may answer inaccurately, or not respond at all. Civiqs provides an intuitive and convenient survey-taking experience that enables panelists to easily share their opinions and have their voices heard.

When a panelist is chosen to participate in a Civiqs poll, they are sent an email with an encrypted link to a survey at civiqs.com. Clicking the link brings up the survey in the panelists’ web browser or smartphone. Panelists click or tap their responses to each question to move through the questionnaire. Results are submitted automatically. Civiqs monitors the rates at which invitation emails are opened and clicked to ensure that delivery rates are consistent across different demographic groups, dates, panel recruitment cohorts, and email service providers. Civiqs polls regularly achieve response rates at double the industry average for online survey research.

Unlike in a traditional telephone poll, Civiqs does not need to ask a battery of demographic questions at the end of every survey. In most cases, Civiqs has already recorded this information from previous polls. This removes length and redundancy from Civiqs questionnaires, and streamlines the poll-taking experience. Civiqs will occasionally ask panelists to update their demographic information; particularly if the panelist has moved to a new residence.

Civiqs uses question formats, wordings, and layouts that are optimized for the web. By keeping surveys accessible and short, panelists complete Civiqs polls quickly, with almost no drop-off. Most surveys are finished in under a minute. Civiqs questionnaires are designed to encourage respondents to answer all of the questions, but that is never required. Respondents may answer as many or as few of the questions as they are interested in and feel comfortable with. There is never any charge to Civiqs panelists for participating in Civiqs research polls.

Optimizing question layouts for mobile users is critical, as more than half of Civiqs surveys are completed on panelists’ mobile devices. Civiqs tests question formats on both desktop and mobile interfaces to ensure ease of use, and uses only those proven to be most effective for collecting accurate responses. Civiqs avoids the use of grid layouts, sliders, and other question configurations that are difficult to read, difficult to interact with, or tedious to answer.

Civiqs’ results have been validated and tested for accuracy by leading voter file providers and survey firms. Because Civiqs surveys are all online, every Civiqs poll is conducted identically, which eliminates interviewer bias and minimizes social desirability effects. Civiqs data shows no patterns of data falsification that plague many polls; especially IVR surveys and long telephone questionnaires. Civiqs surveys also avoid the problem of straight-lining, in which respondents give invalid responses in order to complete the survey as quickly as possible. As an independent survey research organization, Civiqs does not engage in push polling or any other advocacy activities that masquerade as scientific research.

Civiqs’ interviewing service can send questionnaires to a representative cross-section of the Civiqs survey panel the next day. Results are delivered as an anonymized dataset, just as from a traditional call center. Every dataset is reviewed for quality, with close attention to detail. Please contact Civiqs at inquiries@civiqs.com to request an estimate.

Daily Tracking Models

The Civiqs public opinion tracker conducts daily interviews on a range of important political issues. The tracking questions include topics of interest to many investigators:

Job performance and favorability ratings of politicians, political parties, and other groups.
Attitudes on political issues including healthcare, foreign policy, abortion, the environment, minimum wage, cannabis legalization, and gun control.
Economic perceptions: current, past, and future.
Vote intention at the state and national level, including a generic House ballot.

To produce daily measures of public opinion, Civiqs uses a proprietary statistical tracking model to correct for random differences between the demographics of the sample and the population, and smooth out day-to-day sampling variation. Modeling is performed with a dynamic Bayesian multilevel regression model with post-stratification weights, or MRP. The model enables Civiqs to detect systematic changes in public opinion with a high degree of statistical sensitivity.

The Civiqs tracking model captures shifts in the attitudes of various groups over time. These changes may be either gradual or rapid. Civiqs estimates the relationship between panelists’ attitudes on each question and their gender, age, race, education level, and party identification, on every day of polling. The model is specified using all combinations of two-way interactions between categories of the predictor variables, to improve model fit, give the model greater flexibility, and produce more reasonable measures of posterior uncertainty.

To capture trends in public opinion, the model applies a Bayesian dynamic linear model (or Gaussian random walk) to the effects of the demographic factors. The model’s estimate of attitudes within every subgroup on any given day starts from the previous day’s estimate, and is then adjusted upward or downward, based on the new polling data observed that day. In this manner, the model generates smoothly trending estimates of public opinion for every combination of the demographic predictors on every day—even for small groups with limited data. Estimates of the proportion of each subpopulation who select each response to a question are constrained to sum to 100% over the possible choices.

As attitudes shift from day-to-day within each demographic subgroup, so do attitudes at higher levels of aggregation, up to and including the topline population level. Civiqs uses population data from a list of registered voters to combine small subgroup estimates into estimates of attitudes in larger groups: for example, the attitudes of all women, or all self-identified Independents. In the post-stratification step, the estimated conditional response probabilities in each subgroup are multiplied by the share of the population in the respective group, and then summed across groups. This weighted-sum post-stratification approach is also used to produce 95% posterior credibility estimates around the trendline estimates.

The Civiqs results dashboard enables users to explore the results of its daily tracking polls. The MRP model generates a rich set of trendlines that give researchers the ability to drill down into the attitudes of even small demographic and geographic subgroups. Civiqs’ results dashboard provides an intuitive interface to see the effects of hundreds of combinations of demographic factors, to instantly track where an issue or candidate stands with the public, and how those attitudes have trended over time.

Targeted Surveys

Civiqs Targeted Surveys are exactly like a telephone sample, but online. This is the best way to complete a survey sample, fast. Questionnaires go into the field as soon as the very next day. Civiqs delivers a spreadsheet of survey responses within 3 to 4 days, with demographic characteristics attached. We can compute survey weights for you. For more in-depth analysis, Civiqs will prepare a custom banner book and cross-tabular report, with an analytic memorandum summarizing and highlighting key results.

Targeted Survey samples are based on Civiqs' nationally representative in-house survey panel. Civiqs employs a quota sampling procedure to ensure that the sample is demographically representative within your geographic area. Once the sample has been selected, Civiqs emails panelists with an encrypted link, and collects response data using its interviewing platform at civiqs.com. With years of experience conducting online polls, we have modeled response rates to optimize survey representativeness and data accuracy.

Small, targeted populations are difficult to survey with traditional representative sampling methods. They typically require an oversample that adds cost, time, and complexity to data collection. Civiqs can flexibly sample survey respondents with nearly any demographic, geographic, or political characteristics. For example, the survey may seek to reach only persuadable voters within a congressional district, union members, voters who are highly likely to turnout in an upcoming election, or high-school educated men under the age of 35. All of these are achievable using the Civiqs survey platform.

Pricing for Targeted Surveys is based upon survey length and number of completed interviews. Civiqs never charges additional fees for survey programming or setup. Please contact Civiqs at inquiries@civiqs.com to request an estimate.

Campaign Testing

Civiqs employs a repeated survey design for persuasion experiments that is less expensive, faster, and more precise than traditional approaches. Using Civiqs' online panel, we conduct a baseline survey on attitudes towards your issue, candidate, or campaign. We then randomize treatment and control (placebo) conditions across surveyed panelists. When the persuasion campaign is complete, Civiqs emails panelists with one or more follow-up surveys to measure any changes in attitudes across treatment conditions or between repeated surveys over time.

Unlike telephone surveys—which require lengthy phone operator time to contact voters—Civiqs web surveys are emailed automatically following the treatment, with no additional labor for data collection, and very high re-interview rates. The panel design ensures that the same individuals are interviewed both before and after the persuasion campaign, which greatly increases the statistical power of the research design.

Field experiments are the best and most rigorous way to measure the effectiveness of a political campaign, message, or advertisement in the real world. The repeated survey design, which uses web surveys and an pre-recruited online panel, outperforms many current approaches which, in addition to being expensive and labor-intensive, do not have the statistical power to detect what are often small persuasion effects.

With the repeated survey design, there is less wasted effort, leading to lower costs. No time or money needs to be spent persuading—or attempting to follow up with—voters who will never respond to a measurement survey. Every voter who receives the treatment will have already agreed to answer future polls.

Civiqs researchers guide every facet of the study, making implementation easy. Pricing is based upon numbers of surveys completed and placement of the digital ad campaign. Please contact Civiqs at inquiries@civiqs.com to request an estimate.

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Take the Survey

","

Surveys are always in the news, but they never seem to call you. Or when they do call you, the questions are long, boring, and inconvenient. We’re here to change that.

Civiqs makes your views heard. It’s quick, it’s easy, and it makes a difference. We know your time is important, so we keep our surveys short. And we only ever ask about politics—which means, no endless questions about what products you use, or what commercials you’ve seen on TV. Just the issues that matter to politicians, media organizations, and people like you.

When you sign up to take polls with Civiqs, we will send you periodic emails—about once every few weeks—when a new poll is ready. You’re scientifically sampled from among all the people who have told us they’d like to share their views. Most surveys take less than a minute. That’s it!

“Surveys are always in the news, but they never seem to call you. We’re here to change that.”

We will never try to sell you anything and we will never (ever!) share your email address for marketing purposes. For more information, check out our privacy policy. If you have any questions, send us a note at help@civiqs.com.

Take the Survey

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Republican Ron Johnson narrowly leads Democrat Mandela Barnes, 50% to 49%. Johnson has a net negative favorability rating, 44% favorable to 52% unfavorable. Barnes also has a 44% favorable rating among likely voters in Wisconsin, with 51% holding an unfavorable view.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1040,"_118":-5},[1041],{"_113":114,"_80":1042,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"Democrat Tony Evers is up by three percentage points over Republican Tim Michels in the race for Wisconsin Governor, 51% to 48%. Evers has a 47% favorability rating, with 49% of likely voters in Wisconsin viewing him unfavorably. 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With one-fifth (20%) of voters still unsure about Whaley, she gets a 35% favorable rating and a 45% unfavorable rating.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1059,"_118":-5},[1060],{"_113":114,"_80":1061,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"President Joe Biden receives a 38% favorable rating and a 57% unfavorable rating from likely voters in Ohio.",{"_160":161,"_101":162,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1063,"_118":-5},[1064],{"_113":114,"_80":952,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1066,"_118":-5},[1067],{"_113":114,"_80":1068,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"Republican Todd Young is ahead of Democratic challenger Thomas McDermott, Jr. in the race for U.S. Senate in Indiana, 49% to 38%. Young is viewed unfavorably by 49% of likely voters in Indiana, and favorably by 40%. McDermott is less well known: he receives a 31% favorable rating and a 38% unfavorable rating, with 31% who remain unsure.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1070,"_118":-5},[1071],{"_113":114,"_80":1072,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"President Joe Biden holds a 34% favorable rating and 62% unfavorable rating among likely 2022 voters in Indiana.",{"_160":161,"_101":162,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1074,"_118":-5},[1075],{"_113":114,"_80":956,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1077,"_118":-5},[1078],{"_113":114,"_80":1079,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"In the race for the U.S. Senate in Missouri, Republican Eric Schmitt holds a commanding lead over Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine, 55% to 40%. Likely voters have a mixed opinion of Schmitt, as 49% view him favorably and 44% view him unfavorably. Busch Valentine receives a negative evaluation from Missouri likely voters, with 31% favorable, 49% unfavorable, and 21% unsure.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1081,"_118":-5},[1082],{"_113":114,"_80":1083,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"Voters in Missouri give President Joe Biden a 33% favorable rating, with 62% viewing him unfavorably.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1085,"_118":-5},[1086],{"_113":114,"_80":1087,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":31,"_105":106},"Civiqs surveyed 739 likely voters in Wisconsin, 716 likely voters in Ohio, 707 likely voters in Indiana, and 746 likely voters in Missouri from November 4-7, 2022. The surveys were conducted online, among selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Sampled individuals were emailed by Civiqs and responded using a personalized link to the surveys at civiqs.com. The survey results are weighted by age, race, gender, education, and party identification to be representative of the population of likely voters in Wisconsin, Ohio, Indiana, and Missouri. The Wisconsin survey has a margin of error of ±3.7% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.06. The Ohio survey has a margin of error of ±4.1% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.26. The Indiana survey has a margin of error of ±4.7% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.62. The Missouri survey has a margin of error of ±4.7% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.74.","

The Civiqs surveys of likely voters in Wisconsin, Ohio, Indiana, and Missouri were conducted from November 4-7, 2022.

Civiqs has released a series of surveys of likely voters in key 2022 election states.

Wisconsin

In the race for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin, Republican Ron Johnson narrowly leads Democrat Mandela Barnes, 50% to 49%. Johnson has a net negative favorability rating, 44% favorable to 52% unfavorable. Barnes also has a 44% favorable rating among likely voters in Wisconsin, with 51% holding an unfavorable view.

Democrat Tony Evers is up by three percentage points over Republican Tim Michels in the race for Wisconsin Governor, 51% to 48%. Evers has a 47% favorability rating, with 49% of likely voters in Wisconsin viewing him unfavorably. Michels is viewed less favorably than Evers among likely voters, with 41% favorable and 51% unfavorable.

Likely voters in Wisconsin give President Joe Biden a net negative favorable rating, with 44% holding a favorable view, and 52% viewing him unfavorably.

Ohio

Democrat Tim Ryan trails Republican J.D. Vance in the race for U.S. Senate in Ohio, 51% to 46%. Both candidates have very similar favorability ratings. Vance is viewed favorably by 42% of Ohio voters, compared to 43% who view Ryan favorably. About half (49%) hold an unfavorable view of Vance, while 50% say the same about Ryan.

The race for Governor of Ohio is not as close as the U.S. Senate race, as Republican incumbent Mike DeWine leads Democrat Nan Whaley, 53% to 39%. Despite his lead, 46% of Ohio likely voters view DeWine unfavorably, while 41% hold a favorable view. With one-fifth (20%) of voters still unsure about Whaley, she gets a 35% favorable rating and a 45% unfavorable rating.

President Joe Biden receives a 38% favorable rating and a 57% unfavorable rating from likely voters in Ohio.

Indiana

Republican Todd Young is ahead of Democratic challenger Thomas McDermott, Jr. in the race for U.S. Senate in Indiana, 49% to 38%. Young is viewed unfavorably by 49% of likely voters in Indiana, and favorably by 40%. McDermott is less well known: he receives a 31% favorable rating and a 38% unfavorable rating, with 31% who remain unsure.

President Joe Biden holds a 34% favorable rating and 62% unfavorable rating among likely 2022 voters in Indiana.

Missouri

In the race for the U.S. Senate in Missouri, Republican Eric Schmitt holds a commanding lead over Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine, 55% to 40%. Likely voters have a mixed opinion of Schmitt, as 49% view him favorably and 44% view him unfavorably. Busch Valentine receives a negative evaluation from Missouri likely voters, with 31% favorable, 49% unfavorable, and 21% unsure.

Voters in Missouri give President Joe Biden a 33% favorable rating, with 62% viewing him unfavorably.

Civiqs surveyed 739 likely voters in Wisconsin, 716 likely voters in Ohio, 707 likely voters in Indiana, and 746 likely voters in Missouri from November 4-7, 2022. The surveys were conducted online, among selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Sampled individuals were emailed by Civiqs and responded using a personalized link to the surveys at civiqs.com. The survey results are weighted by age, race, gender, education, and party identification to be representative of the population of likely voters in Wisconsin, Ohio, Indiana, and Missouri. The Wisconsin survey has a margin of error of ±3.7% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.06. The Ohio survey has a margin of error of ±4.1% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.26. The Indiana survey has a margin of error of ±4.7% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.62. The Missouri survey has a margin of error of ±4.7% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.74.

","2025-02-12T20:28:45.187Z",{"_30":1091,"_68":1092,"_939":1093,"_171":1094,"_958":1107,"_960":1108,"_992":35,"_993":1115,"_40":1116,"_42":1187,"_44":1188,"_46":1188,"_48":49},152,"Election 2022: New Civiqs Polls in Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona","2022-11-02T00:00:00.000Z",[1095,1099,1103],{"_30":1096,"_36":1097,"_847":1098},"67ad047d58a60100908ec31e","Florida","https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_FL_banner_book_2022_11_2ws762.pdf",{"_30":1100,"_36":1101,"_847":1102},"67ad047d58a60100908ec31f","North Carolina","https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_NC_banner_book_2022_11_t4q6gm.pdf",{"_30":1104,"_36":1105,"_847":1106},"67ad047d58a60100908ec320","Arizona","https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_AZ_banner_book_2022_11_4t7yks.pdf","The Civiqs surveys of likely voters in Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona were conducted from October 29 - November 2, 2022.",{"_30":864,"_852":962,"_854":-5,"_855":856,"_44":963,"_46":963,"_122":964,"_859":962,"_860":965,"_862":966,"_76":967,"_865":968,"_866":77,"_867":77,"_868":1109},{"_870":1110,"_872":1111,"_874":1112,"_876":1113,"_878":1114},{"_122":971,"_76":972,"_865":973,"_860":965,"_862":974,"_859":975},{"_122":977,"_76":978,"_865":979,"_860":965,"_862":980,"_859":981},{"_122":983,"_76":984,"_865":985,"_860":965,"_862":986,"_859":987},{"_122":989,"_76":967,"_865":968,"_860":965,"_862":966,"_859":990},{"_122":989,"_76":967,"_865":968,"_860":965,"_862":966,"_859":990},"2022/11/2/election-2022-new-civiqs-polls-in-florida-north-carolina-and-arizona",{"_3":1117},{"_101":3,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1118,"_118":-5},[1119,1138,1142,1145,1149,1153,1157,1160,1164,1168,1171,1175,1179,1183],{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1120,"_118":-5},[1121,1122,1126,1127,1131,1132,1136],{"_113":114,"_80":1001,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":31,"_105":106},{"_101":171,"_70":1123,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":31,"_107":1124,"_118":-5},{"_173":-5,"_122":1098,"_175":176,"_177":178},[1125],{"_113":114,"_80":1097,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":31,"_105":106},{"_113":114,"_80":1007,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":31,"_105":106},{"_101":171,"_70":1128,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":31,"_107":1129,"_118":-5},{"_173":-5,"_122":1102,"_175":176,"_177":178},[1130],{"_113":114,"_80":1101,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":31,"_105":106},{"_113":114,"_80":1020,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":31,"_105":106},{"_101":171,"_70":1133,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":31,"_107":1134,"_118":-5},{"_173":-5,"_122":1106,"_175":176,"_177":178},[1135],{"_113":114,"_80":1105,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":31,"_105":106},{"_113":114,"_80":1137,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":31,"_105":106}," were conducted from October 29 - November 2, 2022.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1139,"_118":-5},[1140],{"_113":114,"_80":1141,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"Civiqs will be releasing surveys of likely voters in key 2022 election states through Election Day.",{"_160":161,"_101":162,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1143,"_118":-5},[1144],{"_113":114,"_80":1097,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1146,"_118":-5},[1147],{"_113":114,"_80":1148,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"Republican Senator Marco Rubio is ahead of Democratic challenger Val Demings in the race for U.S. Senate in Florida, 52% to 45%. Despite Rubio’s lead, he is viewed unfavorably by 48% of likely voters in Florida, and favorably by 46%. Demings receives a 40% favorable rating, with 51% holding an unfavorable view.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1150,"_118":-5},[1151],{"_113":114,"_80":1152,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"In the campaign for Governor of Florida, Republican Ron DeSantis leads Democrat Charlie Crist, 54% to 45%. Most voters in Florida have a favorable view of Governor DeSantis; he holds a 53% favorable rating and 45% unfavorable rating. Crist is viewed favorably by only 37% of likely voters in Florida and unfavorably by 56%.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1154,"_118":-5},[1155],{"_113":114,"_80":1156,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"President Joe Biden holds a 40% favorable rating and 56% unfavorable rating among likely 2022 voters in Florida.",{"_160":161,"_101":162,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1158,"_118":-5},[1159],{"_113":114,"_80":1101,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1161,"_118":-5},[1162],{"_113":114,"_80":1163,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"The race for the U.S. Senate in North Carolina is even, with Republican Ted Budd and Democrat Cheri Beasley tied at 49%-49%. Beasley has a higher favorable rating than Budd among likely voters: Beasley is viewed favorably by 47% and unfavorably by 48% of North Carolina voters, while Budd is viewed favorably by 43% and unfavorably by 49% of voters.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1165,"_118":-5},[1166],{"_113":114,"_80":1167,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper has a 50% favorable rating. However, both current U.S. Senators from North Carolina are viewed very poorly. Senator Thom Tillis has a 21% favorable rating, and Senator Richard Burr has only a 17% favorable rating. Voters in North Carolina give President Joe Biden a 43% favorable rating, with 53% viewing him unfavorably.",{"_160":161,"_101":162,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1169,"_118":-5},[1170],{"_113":114,"_80":1105,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1172,"_118":-5},[1173],{"_113":114,"_80":1174,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"Democratic Senator Mark Kelly and Republican challenger Blake Masters are tied in the race for U.S. Senate in Arizona, 49% to 49%. Senator Kelly currently has a 47% favorable rating among Arizona voters, with 49% viewing him unfavorably. Masters’ favorable rating is lower; 43% of Arizona voters have a positive opinion of him, and 50% have an unfavorable opinion.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1176,"_118":-5},[1177],{"_113":114,"_80":1178,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"In the race for the Governor of Arizona, Republican Kari Lake narrowly leads Democrat Katie Hobbs, 50% to 48%. Lake has a 47% favorable rating, compared to Hobbs’ 41% favorable rating among likely Arizona voters.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1180,"_118":-5},[1181],{"_113":114,"_80":1182,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":104,"_105":106},"Only 20% of voters in Arizona have a favorable opinion of Democratic Senator Kyrsten Sinema. Senator Sinema’s favorable rating among Democratic voters is just 7%. President Joe Biden receives a 40% favorable rating and a 56% unfavorable rating from likely voters in Arizona.",{"_101":110,"_102":43,"_103":104,"_105":106,"_107":1184,"_118":-5},[1185],{"_113":114,"_80":1186,"_101":80,"_116":43,"_117":104,"_102":31,"_105":106},"Civiqs surveyed 772 likely voters in Florida, 674 likely voters in North Carolina and 852 likely voters in Arizona from October 29 - November 2, 2022. The surveys were conducted online, among selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Sampled individuals were emailed by Civiqs and responded using a personalized link to the surveys at civiqs.com. The survey results are weighted by age, race, gender, education, and party identification to be representative of the population of likely voters in Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona. The Florida survey has a margin of error of ±3.9% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.25. The North Carolina survey has a margin of error of ±4.9% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.66. The Arizona survey has a margin of error of ±4.2% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.55.","

The Civiqs surveys of likely voters in Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona were conducted from October 29 - November 2, 2022.

Civiqs will be releasing surveys of likely voters in key 2022 election states through Election Day.

Florida

Republican Senator Marco Rubio is ahead of Democratic challenger Val Demings in the race for U.S. Senate in Florida, 52% to 45%. Despite Rubio’s lead, he is viewed unfavorably by 48% of likely voters in Florida, and favorably by 46%. Demings receives a 40% favorable rating, with 51% holding an unfavorable view.

In the campaign for Governor of Florida, Republican Ron DeSantis leads Democrat Charlie Crist, 54% to 45%. Most voters in Florida have a favorable view of Governor DeSantis; he holds a 53% favorable rating and 45% unfavorable rating. Crist is viewed favorably by only 37% of likely voters in Florida and unfavorably by 56%.

President Joe Biden holds a 40% favorable rating and 56% unfavorable rating among likely 2022 voters in Florida.

North Carolina

The race for the U.S. Senate in North Carolina is even, with Republican Ted Budd and Democrat Cheri Beasley tied at 49%-49%. Beasley has a higher favorable rating than Budd among likely voters: Beasley is viewed favorably by 47% and unfavorably by 48% of North Carolina voters, while Budd is viewed favorably by 43% and unfavorably by 49% of voters.

North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper has a 50% favorable rating. However, both current U.S. Senators from North Carolina are viewed very poorly. Senator Thom Tillis has a 21% favorable rating, and Senator Richard Burr has only a 17% favorable rating. Voters in North Carolina give President Joe Biden a 43% favorable rating, with 53% viewing him unfavorably.

Arizona

Democratic Senator Mark Kelly and Republican challenger Blake Masters are tied in the race for U.S. Senate in Arizona, 49% to 49%. Senator Kelly currently has a 47% favorable rating among Arizona voters, with 49% viewing him unfavorably. Masters’ favorable rating is lower; 43% of Arizona voters have a positive opinion of him, and 50% have an unfavorable opinion.

In the race for the Governor of Arizona, Republican Kari Lake narrowly leads Democrat Katie Hobbs, 50% to 48%. Lake has a 47% favorable rating, compared to Hobbs’ 41% favorable rating among likely Arizona voters.

Only 20% of voters in Arizona have a favorable opinion of Democratic Senator Kyrsten Sinema. Senator Sinema’s favorable rating among Democratic voters is just 7%. President Joe Biden receives a 40% favorable rating and a 56% unfavorable rating from likely voters in Arizona.

Civiqs surveyed 772 likely voters in Florida, 674 likely voters in North Carolina and 852 likely voters in Arizona from October 29 - November 2, 2022. The surveys were conducted online, among selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Sampled individuals were emailed by Civiqs and responded using a personalized link to the surveys at civiqs.com. The survey results are weighted by age, race, gender, education, and party identification to be representative of the population of likely voters in Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona. The Florida survey has a margin of error of ±3.9% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.25. The North Carolina survey has a margin of error of ±4.9% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.66. The Arizona survey has a margin of error of ±4.2% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect due to weighting of 1.55.

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